1
40%
Home Win
2.5
X
27%
Draw
3.68
2
33%
Away Win
3.05
xG Home
1.31
xG Away
1.16
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Cracovia Krakow an expected 1.3 goals and Pogoń Szczecin an expected 1.2 goals. Cracovia Krakow have a 40% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Pogoń Szczecin at 33%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.9%
1:0
11.1%
0:1
9.9%
0:0
8.5%
2:1
8.4%
1:2
7.4%
2:0
7.3%
0:2
5.7%
2:2
4.9%
3:1
3.7%
3:0
3.2%
1:3
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Cracovia Krakow Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 40% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.5 |
| Market Odds | 2.66 |
Team Comparison
| Cracovia Krakow | Pogoń Szczecin | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 9 |
| 42 | Points | 45 |
| 26% | Win % | 38% |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.44 |
Venue Form
Cracovia Krakow at Home
W0
D2
L0
(2 games)
Pogoń Szczecin Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Cracovia Krakow
D
D
Pogoń Szczecin
W
L
D
