1
28%
Home Win
3.58
X
29%
Draw
3.45
2
43%
Away Win
2.32
xG Home
0.93
xG Away
1.23
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
BTTS
43%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Club Tijuana an expected 0.9 goals and Cruz Azul an expected 1.2 goals. Club Tijuana have a 28% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Cruz Azul at 43%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
14.1%
1:1
13.2%
0:0
11.5%
1:0
10.7%
0:2
8.7%
1:2
8.1%
2:1
6.2%
2:0
5%
2:2
3.8%
0:3
3.6%
1:3
3.3%
3:1
1.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Cruz Azul Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 43% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.33 |
| Market Odds | 2.47 |
Team Comparison
| Club Tijuana | Cruz Azul | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 3 |
| 23 | Points | 33 |
| 29% | Win % | 53% |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.82 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
Venue Form
Club Tijuana at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Cruz Azul Away
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Club Tijuana
W
W
Cruz Azul
W
W
D
