Club América vs Santos Laguna Prediction

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2 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sun, 02 Aug 2026 · Liga MX
1 67%
Home Win 1.49
X 20%
Draw 5.08
2 13%
Away Win 7.53
xG Home 2.07
xG Away 0.80
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
BTTS 48%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Club América an expected 2.1 goals and Santos Laguna an expected 0.8 goals. Club América have a 67% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Santos Laguna at 13%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 55%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:0 12.2%
1:0 11.8%
2:1 9.7%
1:1 9.4%
3:0 8.4%
3:1 6.7%
0:0 5.7%
0:1 4.5%
4:0 4.4%
2:2 3.9%
1:2 3.7%
4:1 3.5%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Club América Win
Probability 67%
Predicted Odds 1.49
Market Odds 1.59

Team Comparison

Club América Santos Laguna
8 League Position 18
25 Points 12
41% Win % 18%
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1 Avg Goals Conceded 2.24

Venue Form

Club América at Home
W1 D1 L2 (4 games)
25% win rate
Santos Laguna Away
W0 D0 L3 (3 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Club América
D L W L
Santos Laguna
L L L