1
59%
Home Win
1.68
X
27%
Draw
3.69
2
13%
Away Win
7.43
xG Home
1.42
xG Away
0.52
Over 2.5 Goals
31%
BTTS
31%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Club América an expected 1.4 goals and Puebla an expected 0.5 goals. Club América have a 59% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Puebla at 13%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 69%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
20.5%
2:0
14.5%
0:0
14.4%
1:1
10.6%
2:1
7.5%
0:1
7.5%
3:0
6.9%
3:1
3.6%
1:2
2.7%
4:0
2.4%
2:2
1.9%
0:2
1.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Club América Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 59% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.69 |
| Market Odds | 1.8 |
Team Comparison
| Club América | Puebla | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 17 |
| 25 | Points | 13 |
| 41% | Win % | 18% |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.76 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.53 |
Venue Form
Club América at Home
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
Puebla Away
W1
D0
L3
(4 games)
Recent Form
Club América
D
L
W
L
Puebla
L
W
L
L
