1
26%
Home Win
3.79
X
28%
Draw
3.56
2
45%
Away Win
2.2
xG Home
0.93
xG Away
1.31
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
BTTS
44%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Club América an expected 0.9 goals and Guadalajara Chivas an expected 1.3 goals. Club América have a 26% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Guadalajara Chivas at 45%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
14%
1:1
13%
0:0
10.6%
1:0
9.9%
0:2
9.2%
1:2
8.5%
2:1
6%
2:0
4.6%
0:3
4%
2:2
3.9%
1:3
3.7%
3:1
1.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Guadalajara Chivas Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Club América | Guadalajara Chivas | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 2 |
| 25 | Points | 36 |
| 41% | Win % | 65% |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.94 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
Club América at Home
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
Guadalajara Chivas Away
W0
D2
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Club América
D
L
W
L
Guadalajara Chivas
D
L
D
