Club América vs Atletico San Luis Prediction

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1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sun, 16 Aug 2026 · Liga MX
1 49%
Home Win 2.03
X 26%
Draw 3.8
2 24%
Away Win 4.09
xG Home 1.47
xG Away 0.95
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
BTTS 47%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Club América an expected 1.5 goals and Atletico San Luis an expected 1.0 goals. Club América have a 49% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Atletico San Luis at 24%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 56%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 13%
1:1 12.4%
2:0 9.6%
2:1 9.1%
0:0 8.8%
0:1 8.4%
1:2 5.9%
3:0 4.7%
3:1 4.5%
2:2 4.4%
0:2 4%
3:2 2.1%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Club América Win
Probability 49%
Predicted Odds 2.04
Market Odds 2.17

Team Comparison

Club América Atletico San Luis
8 League Position 14
25 Points 18
41% Win % 29%
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.59

Venue Form

Club América at Home
W1 D1 L2 (4 games)
25% win rate
Atletico San Luis Away
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

Club América
D L W L
Atletico San Luis
L W