1
36%
Home Win
2.8
X
26%
Draw
3.84
2
38%
Away Win
2.62
xG Home
1.30
xG Away
1.36
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Chongqing Tongliang Long an expected 1.3 goals and Shanghai Shenhua an expected 1.4 goals. Chongqing Tongliang Long have a 36% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Shanghai Shenhua at 38%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 50%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.4%
0:1
9.5%
1:0
9.1%
1:2
8.4%
2:1
8.1%
0:0
7%
0:2
6.4%
2:0
5.9%
2:2
5.5%
1:3
3.8%
3:1
3.5%
0:3
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Shanghai Shenhua Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| Chongqing Tongliang Long | Shanghai Shenhua | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 9 |
| 31 | Points | 28 |
| 28% | Win % | 44% |
| 1.04 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.96 |
| 1.16 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.8 |
Venue Form
Chongqing Tongliang Long at Home
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Shanghai Shenhua Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Chongqing Tongliang Long
D
W
L
Shanghai Shenhua
W
D
