Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shanghai Shenhua Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 06 Sep 2026 · Super League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.27
xG Away 1.50
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
BTTS 56%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Chongqing Tongliang Long an expected 1.3 goals and Shanghai Shenhua an expected 1.5 goals. Chongqing Tongliang Long have a 32% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Shanghai Shenhua at 43%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 52%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12%
0:1 9.4%
1:2 9%
1:0 8%
2:1 7.6%
0:2 7.1%
0:0 6.3%
2:2 5.7%
2:0 5%
1:3 4.5%
0:3 3.5%
3:1 3.2%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Shanghai Shenhua Win
Probability 43%
Predicted Odds 2.33
Market Odds 2.47

Team Comparison

Chongqing Tongliang Long Shanghai Shenhua
9 League Position 8
36 Points 37
28% Win % 48%
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 2.17
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.72

Venue Form

Chongqing Tongliang Long at Home
W2 D1 L2 (5 games)
40% win rate
Shanghai Shenhua Away
W2 D1 L1 (4 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

Chongqing Tongliang Long
W L D W L
Shanghai Shenhua
L W W D