1
34%
Home Win
2.94
X
27%
Draw
3.71
2
39%
Away Win
2.56
xG Home
1.20
xG Away
1.30
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Chongqing Tongliang Long an expected 1.2 goals and Shandong Taishan an expected 1.3 goals. Chongqing Tongliang Long have a 34% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Shandong Taishan at 39%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.8%
0:1
10.7%
1:0
9.8%
1:2
8.3%
0:0
8.2%
2:1
7.7%
0:2
7%
2:0
5.9%
2:2
5%
1:3
3.6%
3:1
3.1%
0:3
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Shandong Taishan Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| Chongqing Tongliang Long | Shandong Taishan | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 6 |
| 31 | Points | 37 |
| 27% | Win % | 50% |
| 1.04 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.77 |
| 1.23 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.65 |
Venue Form
Chongqing Tongliang Long at Home
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
Shandong Taishan Away
W1
D0
L3
(4 games)
Recent Form
Chongqing Tongliang Long
L
D
W
L
Shandong Taishan
L
L
W
L