1
35%
Home Win
2.85
X
30%
Draw
3.38
2
35%
Away Win
2.84
xG Home
1.07
xG Away
1.07
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
BTTS
43%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Charlton an expected 1.1 goals and Preston an expected 1.1 goals. Charlton have a 35% win probability, draw stands at 30%, and Preston at 35%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.5%
0:1
12.6%
1:0
12.6%
0:0
11.8%
1:2
7.2%
2:1
7.2%
0:2
6.8%
2:0
6.7%
2:2
3.9%
1:3
2.6%
3:1
2.6%
0:3
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Charlton Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 35% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.86 |
| Market Odds | 3.04 |
Team Comparison
| Charlton | Preston | |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | League Position | 14 |
| 53 | Points | 60 |
| 28% | Win % | 33% |
| 0.96 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.2 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.35 |
Venue Form
Charlton at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Preston Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Charlton
W
L
Preston
W
L
