1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.13
xG Away
2.04
Over 2.5 Goals
79%
BTTS
77%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Cerezo Osaka an expected 2.1 goals and Kawasaki Frontale an expected 2.0 goals. Cerezo Osaka have a 42% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Kawasaki Frontale at 38%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 79%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:2
7.3%
2:1
7.1%
1:2
6.8%
1:1
6.7%
3:2
5.2%
3:1
5.1%
2:3
5%
1:3
4.7%
3:3
3.5%
2:0
3.5%
1:0
3.3%
0:2
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Cerezo Osaka Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 42% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.38 |
| Market Odds | 2.53 |
Team Comparison
| Cerezo Osaka | Kawasaki Frontale | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 8 |
| 52 | Points | 57 |
| 37% | Win % | 39% |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.76 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
Venue Form
Cerezo Osaka at Home
W2
D3
L0
(5 games)
Kawasaki Frontale Away
W2
D0
L4
(6 games)
Recent Form
Cerezo Osaka
D
D
D
W
W
Kawasaki Frontale
W
L
L
L
L
