1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.77
xG Away
1.05
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Celta de Vigo an expected 1.8 goals and Sevilla FC an expected 1.1 goals. Celta de Vigo have a 54% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Sevilla FC at 22%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.1%
1:0
10.6%
2:1
9.8%
2:0
9.3%
0:1
6.3%
0:0
6%
1:2
5.8%
3:1
5.8%
3:0
5.5%
2:2
5.1%
0:2
3.3%
3:2
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Celta de Vigo Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 54% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.85 |
| Market Odds | 1.97 |
Team Comparison
| Celta de Vigo | Sevilla FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 13 |
| 54 | Points | 43 |
| 37% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.58 |
Venue Form
Celta de Vigo at Home
W1
D2
L2
(5 games)
Sevilla FC Away
W3
D1
L2
(6 games)
Recent Form
Celta de Vigo
D
D
L
W
L
Sevilla FC
W
D
W
L
L
