Cambuur vs Excelsior Prediction

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Cambuur Cambuur
1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Fri, 07 Aug 2026 · Eredivisie
1 48%
Home Win 2.09
X 24%
Draw 4.22
2 28%
Away Win 3.52
xG Home 1.72
xG Away 1.27
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
BTTS 59%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Cambuur an expected 1.7 goals and Excelsior an expected 1.3 goals. Cambuur have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Excelsior at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11%
2:1 9.4%
1:0 8.7%
2:0 7.4%
1:2 7%
0:1 6.4%
2:2 6%
3:1 5.4%
0:0 5%
3:0 4.2%
0:2 4.1%
3:2 3.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Excelsior Win
Probability 50%
Predicted Odds 2
Market Odds 2.13

Venue Form

Excelsior Away
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate

Recent Form

Excelsior
W

Head to Head

04 Jul 2026 Friendlies Clubs
Excelsior 3 : 2 Cambuur
L
02 Aug 2025 Friendlies Clubs
Cambuur 0 : 1 Excelsior
W
17 Jan 2025 Eerste Divisie
Cambuur 1 : 0 Excelsior
L