1
43%
Home Win
2.33
X
28%
Draw
3.58
2
29%
Away Win
3.44
xG Home
1.29
xG Away
1.01
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
BTTS
46%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Bristol City an expected 1.3 goals and Stoke City an expected 1.0 goals. Bristol City have a 43% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Stoke City at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13%
1:0
12.9%
0:1
10.1%
0:0
10%
2:1
8.4%
2:0
8.4%
1:2
6.6%
0:2
5.1%
2:2
4.3%
3:1
3.6%
3:0
3.6%
1:3
2.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Bristol City Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 43% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.33 |
| Market Odds | 2.47 |
Team Comparison
| Bristol City | Stoke City | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 17 |
| 62 | Points | 55 |
| 37% | Win % | 33% |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.11 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.22 |
Venue Form
Bristol City at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Stoke City Away
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Bristol City
W
L
Stoke City
D
L
L
