1
33%
Home Win
3.04
X
28%
Draw
3.63
2
40%
Away Win
2.53
xG Home
1.13
xG Away
1.27
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
BTTS
49%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Bristol City an expected 1.1 goals and Millwall an expected 1.3 goals. Bristol City have a 33% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Millwall at 40%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13%
0:1
11.5%
1:0
10.3%
0:0
9.1%
1:2
8.3%
2:1
7.4%
0:2
7.3%
2:0
5.8%
2:2
4.7%
1:3
3.5%
0:3
3.1%
3:1
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Millwall Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 40% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.5 |
| Market Odds | 2.66 |
Team Comparison
| Bristol City | Millwall | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 3 |
| 62 | Points | 83 |
| 37% | Win % | 52% |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.39 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.07 |
Venue Form
Bristol City at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Millwall Away
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Bristol City
W
L
Millwall
D
D
W
