1
25%
Home Win
4.04
X
30%
Draw
3.34
2
45%
Away Win
2.21
xG Home
0.81
xG Away
1.20
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
BTTS
39%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Blackburn an expected 0.8 goals and Millwall an expected 1.2 goals. Blackburn have a 25% win probability, draw stands at 30%, and Millwall at 45%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 67%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
16.1%
0:0
13.4%
1:1
13%
1:0
10.8%
0:2
9.7%
1:2
7.8%
2:1
5.2%
2:0
4.4%
0:3
3.9%
2:2
3.2%
1:3
3.1%
3:1
1.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Millwall Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Blackburn | Millwall | |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | League Position | 3 |
| 52 | Points | 83 |
| 28% | Win % | 52% |
| 0.91 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.39 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.07 |
Venue Form
Blackburn at Home
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Millwall Away
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Blackburn
L
L
W
Millwall
D
D
W
