1
21%
Home Win
4.68
X
28%
Draw
3.56
2
51%
Away Win
1.98
xG Home
0.77
xG Away
1.35
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
BTTS
40%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Blackburn an expected 0.8 goals and Middlesbrough an expected 1.4 goals. Blackburn have a 21% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Middlesbrough at 51%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
16.1%
1:1
12.5%
0:0
11.9%
0:2
10.9%
1:0
9.2%
1:2
8.4%
0:3
4.9%
2:1
4.8%
1:3
3.8%
2:0
3.6%
2:2
3.3%
0:4
1.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Middlesbrough Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 51% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.96 |
| Market Odds | 2.09 |
Team Comparison
| Blackburn | Middlesbrough | |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | League Position | 5 |
| 52 | Points | 80 |
| 28% | Win % | 48% |
| 0.91 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.57 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.02 |
Venue Form
Blackburn at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Middlesbrough Away
W0
D3
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Blackburn
L
W
Middlesbrough
L
D
D
D
