1
36%
Home Win
2.76
X
29%
Draw
3.44
2
35%
Away Win
2.88
xG Home
1.12
xG Away
1.09
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Blackburn an expected 1.1 goals and Leicester an expected 1.1 goals. Blackburn have a 36% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Leicester at 35%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.4%
1:0
12.3%
0:1
12%
0:0
11%
2:1
7.5%
1:2
7.3%
2:0
6.9%
0:2
6.5%
2:2
4.1%
3:1
2.8%
1:3
2.7%
3:0
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Blackburn Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 36% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.78 |
| Market Odds | 2.96 |
Team Comparison
| Blackburn | Leicester | |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | League Position | 23 |
| 52 | Points | 46 |
| 28% | Win % | 26% |
| 0.91 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.48 |
Venue Form
Blackburn at Home
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Leicester Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Blackburn
L
L
W
Leicester
W
L