1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.63
xG Away
1.15
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Birmingham an expected 1.6 goals and QPR an expected 1.1 goals. Birmingham have a 49% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and QPR at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.6%
1:0
10.1%
2:1
9.5%
2:0
8.3%
0:1
7.1%
1:2
6.7%
0:0
6.2%
2:2
5.4%
3:1
5.2%
3:0
4.5%
0:2
4.1%
3:2
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Birmingham Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 49% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.04 |
| Market Odds | 2.17 |
Team Comparison
| Birmingham | QPR | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 15 |
| 64 | Points | 58 |
| 37% | Win % | 35% |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.59 |
Venue Form
Birmingham at Home
W2
D2
L0
(4 games)
QPR Away
W0
D2
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Birmingham
D
D
W
W
QPR
D
D
L
L
