1
68%
Home Win
1.47
X
18%
Draw
5.62
2
14%
Away Win
7.09
xG Home
2.38
xG Away
0.99
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Beijing Guoan an expected 2.4 goals and Shenyang Urban an expected 1.0 goals. Beijing Guoan have a 68% win probability, draw stands at 18%, and Shenyang Urban at 14%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 65%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
9.7%
2:1
9.6%
1:0
8.1%
1:1
8.1%
3:0
7.7%
3:1
7.7%
2:2
4.8%
4:0
4.6%
4:1
4.6%
1:2
4%
3:2
3.8%
0:0
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Shenyang Urban Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Beijing Guoan | Shenyang Urban | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 13 |
| 38 | Points | 25 |
| 42% | Win % | 27% |
| 1.88 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.31 |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.81 |
Venue Form
Beijing Guoan at Home
W3
D1
L0
(4 games)
Shenyang Urban Away
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Beijing Guoan
D
W
W
W
Shenyang Urban
L
L
D
Head to Head
Shenyang Urban
2 : 1
Beijing Guoan
L
