1
57%
Home Win
1.74
X
22%
Draw
4.55
2
21%
Away Win
4.86
xG Home
1.92
xG Away
1.06
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Beijing Guoan an expected 1.9 goals and Shenyang Urban an expected 1.1 goals. Beijing Guoan have a 57% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Shenyang Urban at 21%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.3%
2:1
9.9%
1:0
9.7%
2:0
9.3%
3:1
6.4%
3:0
6%
1:2
5.5%
0:1
5.4%
2:2
5.3%
0:0
5%
3:2
3.4%
4:1
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Shenyang Urban Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Beijing Guoan | Shenyang Urban | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 9 |
| 22 | Points | 21 |
| 39% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.32 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.63 |
Venue Form
Beijing Guoan at Home
W3
D1
L0
(4 games)
Shenyang Urban Away
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Beijing Guoan
D
W
W
W
Shenyang Urban
D
Head to Head
Shenyang Urban
2 : 1
Beijing Guoan
L
