Bayern Munich vs FC Koln Prediction

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4 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sat, 16 May 2026 · Bundesliga
1 88%
Home Win 1.13
X 5%
Draw 18.94
2 3%
Away Win 36.1
xG Home 4.44
xG Away 0.87
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
BTTS 55%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Bayern Munich an expected 4.4 goals and FC Koln an expected 0.9 goals. Bayern Munich have a 88% win probability, draw stands at 5%, and FC Koln at 3%. The most likely exact scoreline is 4–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 86%.

Correct Score Predictions

4:0 8%
3:0 7.2%
4:1 7%
3:1 6.3%
2:0 4.9%
2:1 4.2%
4:2 3%
3:2 2.7%
1:0 2.2%
1:1 1.9%
2:2 1.9%
4:3 0.9%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Bayern Munich Win
Probability 88%
Predicted Odds 1.14
Market Odds 1.21

Team Comparison

Bayern Munich FC Koln
1 League Position 14
89 Points 32
82% Win % 21%
3.59 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.85

Venue Form

Bayern Munich at Home
W2 D1 L0 (3 games)
67% win rate
FC Koln Away
W0 D1 L0 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Bayern Munich
D W W
FC Koln
D

Head to Head

16 May 2026 Bundesliga
Bayern Munich 4 : 1 FC Koln
W
14 Jan 2026 Bundesliga
FC Koln 1 : 3 Bayern Munich
W
29 Oct 2025 DFB Pokal
FC Koln 1 : 4 Bayern Munich
W