1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.28
xG Away
1.02
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Bayer Leverkusen an expected 2.3 goals and Union Berlin an expected 1.0 goals. Bayer Leverkusen have a 66% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Union Berlin at 16%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
9.8%
2:0
9.6%
1:1
8.6%
1:0
8.4%
3:1
7.4%
3:0
7.3%
2:2
5%
1:2
4.4%
4:1
4.2%
4:0
4.1%
3:2
3.8%
0:1
3.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Bayer Leverkusen Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 66% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.52 |
| Market Odds | 1.61 |
Team Comparison
| Bayer Leverkusen | Union Berlin | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 11 |
| 59 | Points | 39 |
| 50% | Win % | 29% |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.71 |
Venue Form
Bayer Leverkusen at Home
W4
D0
L1
(5 games)
Union Berlin Away
W1
D0
L3
(4 games)
Recent Form
Bayer Leverkusen
W
W
W
L
W
Union Berlin
L
L
W
L
