1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.24
xG Away
1.19
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
BTTS
62%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Bayer Leverkusen an expected 2.2 goals and SC Freiburg an expected 1.2 goals. Bayer Leverkusen have a 61% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and SC Freiburg at 19%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 66%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
9.7%
1:1
8.6%
2:0
8.2%
1:0
7.3%
3:1
7.2%
3:0
6.1%
2:2
5.7%
1:2
5.1%
3:2
4.3%
4:1
4%
0:1
3.9%
4:0
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Bayer Leverkusen Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 61% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.64 |
| Market Odds | 1.74 |
Team Comparison
| Bayer Leverkusen | SC Freiburg | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 7 |
| 59 | Points | 47 |
| 50% | Win % | 38% |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.68 |
Venue Form
Bayer Leverkusen at Home
W4
D0
L1
(5 games)
SC Freiburg Away
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Bayer Leverkusen
W
W
W
L
W
SC Freiburg
W
L
L
W
