1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.12
xG Away
0.93
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Bayer Leverkusen an expected 2.1 goals and Hamburger SV an expected 0.9 goals. Bayer Leverkusen have a 65% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Hamburger SV at 15%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
10.6%
1:0
10%
2:1
9.9%
1:1
9.3%
3:0
7.5%
3:1
7%
0:0
4.7%
2:2
4.6%
0:1
4.4%
1:2
4.3%
4:0
4%
4:1
3.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Bayer Leverkusen Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 65% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.54 |
| Market Odds | 1.64 |
Team Comparison
| Bayer Leverkusen | Hamburger SV | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 13 |
| 59 | Points | 38 |
| 50% | Win % | 26% |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.59 |
Venue Form
Bayer Leverkusen at Home
W4
D0
L1
(5 games)
Hamburger SV Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Bayer Leverkusen
W
W
W
L
W
Hamburger SV
L
W
L
Head to Head
Bayer Leverkusen
0 : 1
Hamburger SV
L
Hamburger SV
0 : 1
Bayer Leverkusen
W
