1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.75
xG Away
2.11
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Baník Ostrava an expected 0.8 goals and Sparta Praha an expected 2.1 goals. Baník Ostrava have a 12% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Sparta Praha at 69%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:2
12.7%
0:1
12%
1:2
9.6%
1:1
9.1%
0:3
9%
1:3
6.7%
0:0
5.7%
0:4
4.7%
1:0
4.3%
2:2
3.6%
1:4
3.6%
2:1
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sparta Praha Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 69% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.45 |
| Market Odds | 1.54 |
Team Comparison
| Baník Ostrava | Sparta Praha | |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | League Position | 2 |
| 22 | Points | 63 |
| 17% | Win % | 63% |
| 0.83 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.1 |
Venue Form
Baník Ostrava at Home
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Sparta Praha Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Baník Ostrava
L
Sparta Praha
W
L
