Baník Ostrava vs Pardubice Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 13 Sep 2026 · Czech Liga
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.05
xG Away 1.37
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
BTTS 49%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Baník Ostrava an expected 1.0 goals and Pardubice an expected 1.4 goals. Baník Ostrava have a 29% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Pardubice at 44%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 56%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.8%
0:1 12.2%
1:0 9.3%
0:0 8.9%
1:2 8.8%
0:2 8.4%
2:1 6.7%
2:0 4.9%
2:2 4.6%
1:3 4%
0:3 3.8%
3:1 2.3%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Pardubice Win
Probability 44%
Predicted Odds 2.27
Market Odds 2.42

Team Comparison

Baník Ostrava Pardubice
16 League Position 8
22 Points 41
17% Win % 37%
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.53

Venue Form

Baník Ostrava at Home
W0 D0 L1 (1 games)
0% win rate
Pardubice Away
W2 D1 L1 (4 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

Baník Ostrava
L
Pardubice
W W D L