1
52%
Home Win
1.93
X
23%
Draw
4.44
2
26%
Away Win
3.9
xG Home
1.88
xG Away
1.26
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
BTTS
61%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives AZ Alkmaar an expected 1.9 goals and Telstar an expected 1.3 goals. AZ Alkmaar have a 52% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Telstar at 26%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.3%
2:1
9.6%
1:0
8.1%
2:0
7.6%
1:2
6.5%
2:2
6.1%
3:1
6%
0:1
5.5%
3:0
4.8%
0:0
4.3%
3:2
3.8%
0:2
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | AZ Alkmaar Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 52% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.92 |
| Market Odds | 2.05 |
Team Comparison
| AZ Alkmaar | Telstar | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 14 |
| 52 | Points | 37 |
| 41% | Win % | 26% |
| 1.71 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.44 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.62 |
Venue Form
AZ Alkmaar at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Telstar Away
W0
D2
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
AZ Alkmaar
D
W
Telstar
D
L
D
