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AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen — Prediction

AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 · Eredivisie
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Groningen Groningen

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
8 Nov 2026, 15:45 UTC
Competition
Eredivisie
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

AZ Alkmaar
  • Ajax 1–0 AZ Alkmaar
  • AZ Alkmaar 0–2 FC Twente
  • Cambuur 2–2 AZ Alkmaar
  • Feyenoord 2–0 AZ Alkmaar
  • AZ Alkmaar 1–0 Telstar
Groningen
  • Groningen 2–3 Sparta Rotterdam
  • NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Groningen
  • Groningen 2–5 Ajax
  • Excelsior 1–5 Groningen
  • Groningen 3–0 PEC Zwolle
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: AZ Alkmaar 34 · Groningen 34. Data saved: 2026-11-06 03:40 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: AZ Alkmaar 51% · 2026-11-07 00:50 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.54
Model goal expectation · 2 1.26
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
BTTS 56%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: AZ Alkmaar 1.54 · Groningen 1.26.
1 44% · X 25% · 2 31%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11.8%
1:0 9.4%
2:1 9.1%
0:1 7.7%
1:2 7.4%
2:0 7.2%
0:0 6.1%
2:2 5.7%
0:2 4.9%
3:1 4.6%
3:0 3.7%
1:3 3.1%

About this assessment

Model outcome AZ Alkmaar Win
Probability 44%
Predicted Odds 2.27

Team Comparison

AZ Alkmaar Groningen
7 League Position 9
52 Points 48
41% Win % 41%
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32

Venue Form

AZ Alkmaar at Home
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate
Groningen Away
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

AZ Alkmaar
L L D L W
Groningen
L D L W W

More Eredivisie Predictions

Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven
Sun 08 Nov
Heerenveen vs Feyenoord
Sun 08 Nov Tip: 2 · 47%
FC Twente vs Ajax
Sun 08 Nov Tip: 1 · 41%
Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen
Sun 08 Nov Tip: 1 · 40%

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01

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02

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03

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Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

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