1
47%
Home Win
2.11
X
23%
Draw
4.36
2
30%
Away Win
3.37
xG Home
1.81
xG Away
1.39
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
BTTS
63%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives AZ Alkmaar an expected 1.8 goals and GO Ahead Eagles an expected 1.4 goals. AZ Alkmaar have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and GO Ahead Eagles at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.3%
2:1
9.3%
1:0
7.4%
1:2
7.1%
2:0
6.7%
2:2
6.4%
0:1
5.7%
3:1
5.6%
0:0
4.1%
3:0
4%
0:2
3.9%
3:2
3.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | AZ Alkmaar Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 47% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.13 |
| Market Odds | 2.26 |
Team Comparison
| AZ Alkmaar | GO Ahead Eagles | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 12 |
| 52 | Points | 38 |
| 41% | Win % | 24% |
| 1.71 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.59 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.56 |
Venue Form
AZ Alkmaar at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
GO Ahead Eagles Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
AZ Alkmaar
D
W
GO Ahead Eagles
D
L
