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Toulouse vs Strasbourg — Prediction

Toulouse Toulouse
2 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Fri, 06 Nov 2026 · Ligue 1
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Strasbourg Strasbourg

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
6 Nov 2026, 19:45 UTC
Competition
Ligue 1
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Toulouse
  • Marseille 2–0 Toulouse
  • Toulouse 0–0 Estac Troyes
  • Toulouse 3–2 LE Havre AC
  • Lorient 0–0 Toulouse
  • Toulouse 2–1 Lyon
Strasbourg
  • Strasbourg 5–1 Auxerre
  • Rennes FC 3–0 Strasbourg
  • Strasbourg 1–3 Paris Saint Germain
  • Paris FC 2–1 Strasbourg
  • Strasbourg 1–1 Monaco
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Toulouse 9 · Strasbourg 9. Data saved: 2026-11-05 01:30 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Strasbourg 43% · 2026-11-05 00:50 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 2.00
Model goal expectation · 2 1.66
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
BTTS 70%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Toulouse 2.00 · Strasbourg 1.66.
1 46% · X 21% · 2 33%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:1 8.5%
1:1 8.5%
2:2 7.1%
1:2 7.1%
3:1 5.7%
2:0 5.1%
1:0 5.1%
3:2 4.7%
0:1 4.3%
2:3 3.9%
1:3 3.9%
0:2 3.5%

About this assessment

Model outcome Toulouse Win
Probability 46%
Predicted Odds 2.17

Team Comparison

Toulouse Strasbourg
12 League Position 13
10 Points 10
22% Win % 33%
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.89
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 2.11

Venue Form

Toulouse at Home
W2 D1 L0 (3 games)
67% win rate
Strasbourg Away
W0 D0 L2 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Toulouse
L D W D W
Strasbourg
W L L L D

Head to Head

03 May 2026 ligue1
Strasbourg 1 : 2 Toulouse
W