1
22%
Home Win
4.48
X
42%
Draw
2.37
2
36%
Away Win
2.82
xG Home
0.48
xG Away
0.69
Over 2.5 Goals
11%
BTTS
19%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Australia an expected 0.5 goals and Egypt an expected 0.7 goals. Australia have a 22% win probability, draw stands at 42%, and Egypt at 36%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 89%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
31%
0:1
21.4%
1:0
14.9%
1:1
10.3%
0:2
7.4%
2:0
3.6%
1:2
3.5%
2:1
2.5%
0:3
1.7%
2:2
0.9%
1:3
0.8%
3:0
0.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Australia Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Australia | Egypt | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 2 |
| 4 | Points | 5 |
| 33% | Win % | 33% |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |