1
28%
Home Win
3.61
X
49%
Draw
2.02
2
23%
Away Win
4.36
xG Home
0.48
xG Away
0.41
Over 2.5 Goals
6%
BTTS
13%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives South Africa an expected 0.5 goals and South Korea an expected 0.4 goals. South Africa have a 28% win probability, draw stands at 49%, and South Korea at 23%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 94%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
40.8%
1:0
19.7%
0:1
16.9%
1:1
8.1%
2:0
4.7%
0:2
3.5%
2:1
2%
1:2
1.7%
3:0
0.8%
0:3
0.5%
2:2
0.4%
3:1
0.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | South Korea Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| South Africa | South Korea | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 3 |
| 4 | Points | 3 |
| 33% | Win % | 33% |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.67 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |