1
1%
Home Win
92.59
X
3%
Draw
35.59
2
89%
Away Win
1.12
xG Home
0.64
xG Away
5.00
Over 2.5 Goals
85%
BTTS
44%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Tunisia an expected 0.6 goals and Netherlands an expected 5.0 goals. Tunisia have a 1% win probability, draw stands at 3%, and Netherlands at 89%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–4. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 85%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:4
9.2%
0:3
7.4%
1:4
5.9%
1:3
4.7%
0:2
4.4%
1:2
2.8%
2:4
1.9%
0:1
1.8%
2:3
1.5%
1:1
1.1%
2:2
0.9%
3:4
0.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Netherlands Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Tunisia | Netherlands | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 1 |
| 0 | Points | 7 |
| 0% | Win % | 67% |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 3.33 |
| 4 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |