1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.56
xG Away
1.58
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
BTTS
34%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Atromitos an expected 0.6 goals and AEK Athens FC an expected 1.6 goals. Atromitos have a 13% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and AEK Athens FC at 63%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
18.7%
0:2
14.8%
0:0
11.8%
1:1
10.4%
1:2
8.2%
0:3
7.8%
1:0
6.5%
1:3
4.3%
0:4
3.1%
2:1
2.9%
2:2
2.3%
2:0
1.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | AEK Athens FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 63% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.59 |
| Market Odds | 1.69 |
Team Comparison
| Atromitos | AEK Athens FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 1 |
| 29 | Points | 60 |
| 27% | Win % | 69% |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.88 |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.65 |
Venue Form
Atromitos at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
AEK Athens FC Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Atromitos
D
W
AEK Athens FC
W
D
