1
30%
Home Win
3.32
X
25%
Draw
4.04
2
45%
Away Win
2.21
xG Home
1.24
xG Away
1.58
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Atletico San Luis an expected 1.2 goals and Pachuca an expected 1.6 goals. Atletico San Luis have a 30% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Pachuca at 45%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.7%
0:1
9.4%
1:2
9.2%
0:2
7.4%
1:0
7.4%
2:1
7.3%
0:0
5.9%
2:2
5.7%
1:3
4.9%
2:0
4.6%
0:3
3.9%
2:3
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Pachuca Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Atletico San Luis | Pachuca | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 4 |
| 18 | Points | 31 |
| 29% | Win % | 53% |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.47 |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.12 |
Venue Form
Atletico San Luis at Home
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Pachuca Away
W3
D0
L2
(5 games)
Recent Form
Atletico San Luis
L
W
L
Pachuca
W
L
W
L
W