1
48%
Home Win
2.1
X
24%
Draw
4.1
2
28%
Away Win
3.57
xG Home
1.64
xG Away
1.20
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Atletico San Luis an expected 1.6 goals and Necaxa an expected 1.2 goals. Atletico San Luis have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Necaxa at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.5%
1:0
9.6%
2:1
9.4%
2:0
7.9%
0:1
7%
1:2
6.9%
0:0
5.9%
2:2
5.7%
3:1
5.1%
3:0
4.3%
0:2
4.2%
3:2
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Atletico San Luis Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 48% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.08 |
| Market Odds | 2.22 |
Team Comparison
| Atletico San Luis | Necaxa | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 15 |
| 18 | Points | 18 |
| 29% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.12 |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.47 |
Venue Form
Atletico San Luis at Home
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Necaxa Away
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
Atletico San Luis
L
W
L
Necaxa
L
