1
19%
Home Win
5.15
X
27%
Draw
3.69
2
54%
Away Win
1.87
xG Home
0.74
xG Away
1.43
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
BTTS
40%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Atlas an expected 0.7 goals and U.N.A.M. - Pumas an expected 1.4 goals. Atlas have a 19% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and U.N.A.M. - Pumas at 54%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
16.3%
1:1
12.1%
0:2
11.7%
0:0
11.4%
1:2
8.7%
1:0
8.4%
0:3
5.6%
2:1
4.5%
1:3
4.1%
2:2
3.2%
2:0
3.1%
0:4
2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | U.N.A.M. - Pumas Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 54% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.85 |
| Market Odds | 1.97 |
Team Comparison
| Atlas | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 1 |
| 26 | Points | 36 |
| 41% | Win % | 59% |
| 0.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
Atlas at Home
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
U.N.A.M. - Pumas Away
W3
D2
L2
(7 games)
Recent Form
Atlas
L
D
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
L
W
D
L
D
