1
25%
Home Win
4.07
X
30%
Draw
3.3
2
45%
Away Win
2.22
xG Home
0.79
xG Away
1.18
Over 2.5 Goals
31%
BTTS
38%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Atlas an expected 0.8 goals and Tigres UANL an expected 1.2 goals. Atlas have a 25% win probability, draw stands at 30%, and Tigres UANL at 45%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 69%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
16.5%
0:0
14%
1:1
13%
1:0
11%
0:2
9.7%
1:2
7.7%
2:1
5.1%
2:0
4.3%
0:3
3.8%
1:3
3%
2:2
3%
3:1
1.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Tigres UANL Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Atlas | Tigres UANL | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 7 |
| 26 | Points | 25 |
| 41% | Win % | 41% |
| 0.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.65 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
Venue Form
Atlas at Home
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Tigres UANL Away
W0
D2
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Atlas
L
D
Tigres UANL
L
D
D
L
