1
38%
Home Win
2.61
X
35%
Draw
2.89
2
27%
Away Win
3.71
xG Home
0.92
xG Away
0.72
Over 2.5 Goals
23%
BTTS
31%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Atlas an expected 0.9 goals and Querétaro an expected 0.7 goals. Atlas have a 38% win probability, draw stands at 35%, and Querétaro at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 77%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
19.5%
1:0
17.9%
0:1
14%
1:1
12.8%
2:0
8.2%
2:1
5.9%
0:2
5%
1:2
4.6%
3:0
2.5%
2:2
2.1%
3:1
1.8%
0:3
1.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Atlas Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| Atlas | Querétaro | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 11 |
| 26 | Points | 20 |
| 41% | Win % | 24% |
| 0.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.24 |
Venue Form
Atlas at Home
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Querétaro Away
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Atlas
L
D
Querétaro
W
W
D
