1
37%
Home Win
2.68
X
28%
Draw
3.61
2
35%
Away Win
2.86
xG Home
1.22
xG Away
1.17
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
BTTS
49%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Alavés an expected 1.2 goals and Osasuna an expected 1.2 goals. Alavés have a 37% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Osasuna at 35%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.1%
1:0
11.1%
0:1
10.7%
0:0
9.1%
2:1
8%
1:2
7.7%
2:0
6.8%
0:2
6.3%
2:2
4.7%
3:1
3.2%
1:3
3%
3:0
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Alavés Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 37% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.7 |
| Market Odds | 2.88 |
Team Comparison
| Alavés | Osasuna | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 17 |
| 43 | Points | 42 |
| 29% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.16 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.16 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
Venue Form
Alavés at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Osasuna Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Alavés
L
W
Osasuna
L
L
