1
20%
Home Win
5.09
X
24%
Draw
4.24
2
57%
Away Win
1.76
xG Home
0.92
xG Away
1.74
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
BTTS
49%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Al Taawoun FC an expected 0.9 goals and Al-Ahli Saudi an expected 1.7 goals. Al Taawoun FC have a 20% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Al-Ahli Saudi at 57%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
12.2%
1:1
11.2%
0:2
10.6%
1:2
9.7%
0:0
7%
1:0
6.4%
0:3
6.2%
1:3
5.6%
2:1
5.1%
2:2
4.5%
2:0
3%
0:4
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Al-Ahli Saudi Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 57% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.75 |
| Market Odds | 1.87 |
Team Comparison
| Al Taawoun FC | Al-Ahli Saudi | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 3 |
| 53 | Points | 81 |
| 44% | Win % | 74% |
| 1.74 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.09 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.74 |
Venue Form
Al Taawoun FC at Home
W0
D2
L2
(4 games)
Al-Ahli Saudi Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Al Taawoun FC
L
D
D
L
Al-Ahli Saudi
L
W
