1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.74
xG Away
2.78
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
BTTS
49%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Al Riyadh an expected 0.7 goals and Al-Qadisiyah an expected 2.8 goals. Al Riyadh have a 7% win probability, draw stands at 13%, and Al-Qadisiyah at 80%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 68%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:2
11.4%
0:3
10.6%
1:2
8.5%
0:1
8.2%
1:3
7.8%
0:4
7.4%
1:1
6.1%
1:4
5.5%
2:2
3.1%
0:0
3%
2:3
2.9%
2:1
2.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Al-Qadisiyah Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 80% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.25 |
| Market Odds | 1.33 |
Team Comparison
| Al Riyadh | Al-Qadisiyah | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 4 |
| 30 | Points | 77 |
| 21% | Win % | 68% |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.44 |
| 1.85 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
Al Riyadh at Home
W4
D0
L0
(4 games)
Al-Qadisiyah Away
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Al Riyadh
W
W
W
W
Al-Qadisiyah
W
W
