1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
3.45
xG Away
0.58
Over 2.5 Goals
76%
BTTS
42%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Al-Nassr an expected 3.4 goals and Al Kholood an expected 0.6 goals. Al-Nassr have a 88% win probability, draw stands at 8%, and Al Kholood at 3%. The most likely exact scoreline is 3–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 76%.
Correct Score Predictions
3:0
12.2%
2:0
10.6%
4:0
10.5%
3:1
7.1%
2:1
6.2%
1:0
6.1%
4:1
6.1%
1:1
3.6%
3:2
2.1%
2:2
1.8%
0:0
1.8%
4:2
1.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Al-Nassr Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 88% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.14 |
| Market Odds | 1.21 |
Team Comparison
| Al-Nassr | Al Kholood | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 14 |
| 86 | Points | 33 |
| 82% | Win % | 26% |
| 2.68 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.15 |
| 0.82 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.79 |
Venue Form
Al-Nassr at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Al Kholood Away
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
Al-Nassr
W
W
D
Al Kholood
L
