1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.68
xG Away
2.15
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS
44%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Al Shabab an expected 0.7 goals and Al-Ahli Saudi an expected 2.2 goals. Al Shabab have a 10% win probability, draw stands at 18%, and Al-Ahli Saudi at 71%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:2
13.6%
0:1
12.6%
0:3
9.8%
1:2
9.3%
1:1
8.6%
1:3
6.7%
0:0
5.9%
0:4
5.3%
1:0
4%
1:4
3.6%
2:2
3.2%
2:1
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Al-Ahli Saudi Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 71% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.41 |
| Market Odds | 1.5 |
Team Comparison
| Al Shabab | Al-Ahli Saudi | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 3 |
| 35 | Points | 81 |
| 24% | Win % | 74% |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.09 |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.74 |
Venue Form
Al Shabab at Home
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Al-Ahli Saudi Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Al Shabab
D
L
Al-Ahli Saudi
L
W
