1
52%
Home Win
1.94
X
26%
Draw
3.86
2
22%
Away Win
4.46
xG Home
1.52
xG Away
0.91
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Al Riyadh an expected 1.5 goals and Al Akhdoud an expected 0.9 goals. Al Riyadh have a 52% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Al Akhdoud at 22%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.4%
1:1
12.2%
2:0
10.2%
2:1
9.3%
0:0
8.8%
0:1
8%
1:2
5.5%
3:0
5.2%
3:1
4.7%
2:2
4.2%
0:2
3.6%
3:2
2.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Al Riyadh Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 52% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.92 |
| Market Odds | 2.05 |
Team Comparison
| Al Riyadh | Al Akhdoud | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 17 |
| 30 | Points | 20 |
| 21% | Win % | 15% |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.79 |
| 1.85 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.06 |
Venue Form
Al Riyadh at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Al Akhdoud Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Al Riyadh
W
W
Al Akhdoud
L
D
