1
43%
Home Win
2.31
X
25%
Draw
3.99
2
32%
Away Win
3.16
xG Home
1.53
xG Away
1.27
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Al-Nassr an expected 1.5 goals and Al-Hilal Saudi an expected 1.3 goals. Al-Nassr have a 43% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Al-Hilal Saudi at 32%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.8%
1:0
9.3%
2:1
9%
0:1
7.8%
1:2
7.5%
2:0
7.1%
0:0
6.1%
2:2
5.7%
0:2
4.9%
3:1
4.6%
3:0
3.6%
1:3
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Al-Nassr Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 43% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.33 |
| Market Odds | 2.47 |
Team Comparison
| Al-Nassr | Al-Hilal Saudi | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 2 |
| 86 | Points | 84 |
| 82% | Win % | 74% |
| 2.68 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.5 |
| 0.82 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.79 |
Venue Form
Al-Nassr at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Al-Hilal Saudi Away
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Al-Nassr
W
W
D
Al-Hilal Saudi
W
W
D
Head to Head
Al-Nassr
1 : 1
Al-Hilal Saudi
D
Al-Hilal Saudi
3 : 1
Al-Nassr
L
Al-Hilal Saudi
1 : 3
Al-Nassr
W
