1
57%
Home Win
1.76
X
24%
Draw
4.17
2
19%
Away Win
5.18
xG Home
1.69
xG Away
0.88
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
48%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Al Kholood an expected 1.7 goals and Al Akhdoud an expected 0.9 goals. Al Kholood have a 57% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Al Akhdoud at 19%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13%
1:1
11.4%
2:0
11%
2:1
9.6%
0:0
7.6%
0:1
6.7%
3:0
6.2%
3:1
5.4%
1:2
5%
2:2
4.2%
0:2
2.9%
4:0
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Al Kholood Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 57% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.75 |
| Market Odds | 1.87 |
Team Comparison
| Al Kholood | Al Akhdoud | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 17 |
| 33 | Points | 20 |
| 26% | Win % | 15% |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.79 |
| 1.79 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.06 |
Venue Form
Al Kholood at Home
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Al Akhdoud Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Al Kholood
W
D
D
Al Akhdoud
L
D