Al Kholood vs Al Akhdoud Prediction

1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Tue, 12 May 2026 · Saudi Pro League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.69
xG Away 0.88
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
BTTS 48%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Al Kholood an expected 1.7 goals and Al Akhdoud an expected 0.9 goals. Al Kholood have a 57% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Al Akhdoud at 19%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 13%
1:1 11.4%
2:0 11%
2:1 9.6%
0:0 7.6%
0:1 6.7%
3:0 6.2%
3:1 5.4%
1:2 5%
2:2 4.2%
0:2 2.9%
4:0 2.6%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Al Kholood Win
Probability 57%
Predicted Odds 1.75
Market Odds 1.87

Team Comparison

Al Kholood Al Akhdoud
14 League Position 17
33 Points 20
26% Win % 15%
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 0.79
1.79 Avg Goals Conceded 2.06

Venue Form

Al Kholood at Home
W1 D2 L1 (4 games)
25% win rate
Al Akhdoud Away
W0 D1 L1 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Al Kholood
L W D D
Al Akhdoud
L D