1
29%
Home Win
3.4
X
29%
Draw
3.51
2
42%
Away Win
2.38
xG Home
0.99
xG Away
1.25
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Akron an expected 1.0 goals and Rubin an expected 1.2 goals. Akron have a 29% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Rubin at 42%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
13.3%
1:1
13.2%
0:0
10.7%
1:0
10.6%
0:2
8.3%
1:2
8.2%
2:1
6.5%
2:0
5.3%
2:2
4.1%
0:3
3.4%
1:3
3.4%
3:1
2.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Rubin Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 42% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.38 |
| Market Odds | 2.53 |
Team Comparison
| Akron | Rubin | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 8 |
| 27 | Points | 43 |
| 20% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.97 |
| 1.77 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
