1
33%
Home Win
3.04
X
25%
Draw
3.96
2
42%
Away Win
2.39
xG Home
1.29
xG Away
1.49
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Akhmat Grozny an expected 1.3 goals and Spartak Moscow an expected 1.5 goals. Akhmat Grozny have a 33% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Spartak Moscow at 42%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.9%
0:1
9.2%
1:2
8.9%
1:0
8%
2:1
7.7%
0:2
6.9%
0:0
6.2%
2:2
5.7%
2:0
5.2%
1:3
4.4%
0:3
3.4%
3:1
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Spartak Moscow Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 42% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.38 |
| Market Odds | 2.53 |
Team Comparison
| Akhmat Grozny | Spartak Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 4 |
| 37 | Points | 52 |
| 30% | Win % | 50% |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.57 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
