1
21%
Home Win
4.67
X
30%
Draw
3.29
2
48%
Away Win
2.08
xG Home
0.70
xG Away
1.20
Over 2.5 Goals
30%
BTTS
35%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Akhmat Grozny an expected 0.7 goals and Baltika an expected 1.2 goals. Akhmat Grozny have a 21% win probability, draw stands at 30%, and Baltika at 48%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 70%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
18%
0:0
15%
1:1
12.5%
0:2
10.8%
1:0
10.4%
1:2
7.5%
2:1
4.4%
0:3
4.3%
2:0
3.6%
1:3
3%
2:2
2.6%
0:4
1.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Baltika Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 48% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.08 |
| Market Odds | 2.22 |
Team Comparison
| Akhmat Grozny | Baltika | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 6 |
| 37 | Points | 46 |
| 30% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.27 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.7 |
Venue Form
Akhmat Grozny at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Baltika Away
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
Akhmat Grozny
W
L
Baltika
L
