AIK Stockholm vs IFK Göteborg Prediction

1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · Allsvenskan
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.11
xG Away 0.98
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
BTTS 42%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives AIK Stockholm an expected 1.1 goals and IFK Göteborg an expected 1.0 goals. AIK Stockholm have a 39% win probability, draw stands at 30%, and IFK Göteborg at 32%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 65%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 13.7%
1:1 13.4%
0:0 12.4%
0:1 12.1%
2:0 7.7%
2:1 7.5%
1:2 6.6%
0:2 5.9%
2:2 3.7%
3:0 2.8%
3:1 2.8%
1:3 2.1%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick AIK Stockholm Win
Probability 39%
Predicted Odds 2.56
Market Odds 2.73

Team Comparison

AIK Stockholm IFK Göteborg
7 League Position 4
48 Points 51
43% Win % 53%
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.37
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1

Venue Form

AIK Stockholm at Home
W2 D1 L4 (7 games)
29% win rate
IFK Göteborg Away
W3 D2 L2 (7 games)
43% win rate

Recent Form

AIK Stockholm
D L W L L
IFK Göteborg
W W L W L