1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.11
xG Away
0.98
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
BTTS
42%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives AIK Stockholm an expected 1.1 goals and IFK Göteborg an expected 1.0 goals. AIK Stockholm have a 39% win probability, draw stands at 30%, and IFK Göteborg at 32%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 65%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.7%
1:1
13.4%
0:0
12.4%
0:1
12.1%
2:0
7.7%
2:1
7.5%
1:2
6.6%
0:2
5.9%
2:2
3.7%
3:0
2.8%
3:1
2.8%
1:3
2.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | AIK Stockholm Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| AIK Stockholm | IFK Göteborg | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 4 |
| 48 | Points | 51 |
| 43% | Win % | 53% |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.37 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.1 |
Venue Form
AIK Stockholm at Home
W2
D1
L4
(7 games)
IFK Göteborg Away
W3
D2
L2
(7 games)
Recent Form
AIK Stockholm
D
L
W
L
L
IFK Göteborg
W
W
L
W
L